STRATAHELM · COMMUNITY AI EXPOSURE & RESILIENCE INDEX

Dodge County, Minnesota

CAERI National › Minnesota › Dodge County · FIPS 27039 · caeri:27039
50.2
CAERI score (national basis)
50th–75th
National percentile band
#1511
Ranked of 3142 U.S. counties
#14
Ranked in Minnesota (of 87)
Medium
Confidence

Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Dodge County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Minnesota's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.

Pillar breakdown — national percentile ranks

P1 · Direct occupational exposure
67
P2 · Economic concentration
26
P3 · Adaptive capacity (inverted)
56
P4 · Regional buffer (inverted)
27
P5 · Fiscal sensitivity
34
Zone shading marks percentile quartiles; darker and warmer means more concerning. Capacity and buffer bars (inverted before aggregation) read mirrored — for those, a higher percentile is the safer pale end.

What this means for Dodge County

Dodge County scores 50.2 on the national CAERI basis — 1511th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the 50th–75th band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Minnesota it ranks 14th of 87 counties (84th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.

Direct occupational exposure stands at the 67th national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are office clerks, general, medical secretaries and administrative assistants, customer service representatives. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 11% — well above the state median of 10%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.

The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 27% (below the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 60th state percentile. In Minnesota the transmission runs through the property-tax base — commercial-industrial property is taxed at higher classification rates than homesteads, so softness in commercial values shifts levy burden or squeezes capacity — and through state aid, 8% of general revenue here (well below the state median): Local Government Aid is financed from the state general fund and moves with statewide economic conditions, not only local ones. Local-option sales taxes are a minimal share of revenue here, leaving property values and state aid as the channels that matter. Minnesota local governments levy no local income tax. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.

Largest locally-estimated employment in high-exposure occupations

Across all 211 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Dodge County has an estimated 1,464 jobs — 24.1% of county employment — carrying an estimated $109M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:

OccupationEstimated local employment*Exposure (0–1)Median wage (area)
Office Clerks, General1080.44$48,810
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants1020.57$58,360
Customer Service Representatives730.42$47,050
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education590.43$75,770
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products580.43$72,210
*These are estimates, and cannot be anything else. No federal survey measures employment by occupation at county level — not for this county, and not for any county in the United States. Every figure in this table is therefore a model-based ESTIMATE built from published federal data, never a count of actual jobs. They are built to compare occupations and places rather than to be read as headcounts, and their accuracy differs by occupation group — our methodology §5.1 publishes the measured error, including the groups we estimate high and the groups we estimate low. Every county also carries the confidence rating shown above. Wage = area median.

Age structure of exposed-industry employment

Dodge CountyMinnesota median
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 (entry rung) 11.4%9.8%
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55+ (adjustment friction) 26.8%28.3%

🔒 City-level detail for its cities and towns

The county number above averages over every community in it. City- and place-level exposure profiles, employer-mix detail, trend monitoring, and peer benchmarking are part of the CAERI subscription for local governments and regional organizations.

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Cite this page

Canonical identifier: caeri:27039 — this URL is permanent; if the address scheme ever changes, the old address will redirect. StrataHelm. (2026). Dodge County, Minnesota — Community AI Exposure & Resilience Index (CAERI v1.0.0) [Data set]. Retrieved October 4, 2026, from https://stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/dodge/ “Dodge County, Minnesota — CAERI.” StrataHelm, 2026, stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/dodge/. Accessed 4 October 2026. StrataHelm. “Dodge County, Minnesota — Community AI Exposure and Resilience Index (v1.0.0).” 2026. https://stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/dodge/
Embed this county's score card — attribution to StrataHelm CAERI and the link back are part of the embedded page and cannot be stripped:<iframe src="https://stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/dodge/embed/" width="420" height="275" loading="lazy" title="CAERI — Dodge County, MN"></iframe>

Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.

Nearby and comparable counties

Anoka County, MN (in state)Yellow Medicine County, MN (in state)Mahnomen County, MN (in state)Webster County, WV (similar score)Butler County, KY (similar score)Warren County, KY (similar score)

Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.

Sources & provenance

LayerSources (vintage)
Employment & occupation structurecbp_mn_county_naics4: Census CBP 2023 API (NAICS2017 classification; PAYANN in $1,000s; noise infusion G/H/J bands, D = withheld -&gt; NaN); county_soc_estimates.meta.json; exposure_scores: 2026-10-02; matrix_staffing_patterns: 2024-34 National Employment Matrix (base year 2024)
AI-exposure research baseAnthropic Economic Index; Felten, Raj & Seamans (AIOE); Eloundou et al. — combined as a weighted ensemble with cross-source disagreement feeding the confidence rating
Capacity, buffer & fiscalgovfin_mn_county_revenue_mix: 2022 Census of Governments, Survey of Government Finances; lodes_mn_county_flows: LEHD LODES8 OD 2023, JT00/S000; sources: mn_main, mn_aux, ia_aux, nd_aux, sd_aux, wi_aux; qwi_mn_county_naics3_age: Census QWI (qwi/sa), quarters [&#x27;2025-Q1&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q2&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q3&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q4&#x27;], sex=0, ownercode=A05 (private), 96 NAICS-3 + &#x27;00&#x27; all-industry
MethodologyCAERI v1.0.0 · public methodology · scores generated 2026-10-02 · page generated 2026-10-04
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